The parts, named and defined
No secret algorithm. These are the components the system is built from and the measures it reports, in plain language.
What the system is made of
Indicators and measures
Each of these appears in readouts or trade records on this site.
The difference between a fast and a slow exponential moving average of price. When the fast average is above the slow one, recent prices are running above the longer-term average and MACD is positive.
DIF is that difference. DEA is a moving average of DIF, often called the signal line. The histogram is DIF minus DEA, and shows whether momentum is building or fading.
A 0–100 measure comparing the size of recent gains with recent losses. High readings mean gains have dominated; low readings mean losses have.
RSI describes how stretched a move is. It does not say when the move will end.
The average size of an instrument's recent price range, including gaps. It measures how much the instrument typically moves, not which way.
We express it as a percentage of price and use it for position sizing: the wider the typical range, the smaller the position.
A measure of trend strength, regardless of direction. By convention, readings below about 20 indicate a weak or absent trend and readings above about 25 indicate an established one.
A momentum signal with a low ADX is a signal without a trend behind it.
The furthest price moved in a trade's favour while it was open. It shows the best outcome that was ever available.
The furthest price moved against a trade while it was open. Compared with the final result, it shows how much of the adverse move the exit avoided.
Where the models fall short
- Every indicator here is calculated from past prices. None of them leads the market.
- Fitted models assume the future resembles the data they were fitted on. Regime changes break that assumption.
- A written interpretation can read more certain than the numbers behind it. Check the numbers.
- Confidence grades describe agreement among inputs, not the likelihood of profit.